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POLITICS
Volume $29,750
Closes Feb 1, 2026
Will Pierre Poilievre survive his Leadership Review?

Will Pierre Poilievre survive his Leadership Review?

RESOLVED: Yes

Resolution

Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre wins leadership review with 87.4% approval. Source: https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/livestory/pierre-poilievre-speech-conservative-convention-leadership-review-live-updates-9.7068829?ICID=ref_fark

Resolved on Jan 31, 2026, 3:11 p.m.

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Rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre remains Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada following the conclusion of the Conservative Party leadership review held in January. The market will resolve to “Yes” if, after the review process is completed, Pierre Poilievre continues to hold the position of party leader without resigning, being removed, or being replaced. The market will resolve to “No” if Pierre Poilievre resigns, is removed, or is otherwise replaced as Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada as a result of the leadership review, including if a leadership contest or interim leadership is formally initiated following the review. Resolution will be based on official announcements from the Conservative Party of Canada, public statements by Pierre Poilievre, or credible reporting from major Canadian news organizations confirming the outcome of the leadership review.