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← The BC election, in odds

Abbotsford-Mission

Fraser Valley. Safe Conservative, with a 98% chance of winning on October 24.

Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24

Safe Conservative

Conservative
98%
NDP
2%

Chance of winning the seat

Where the odds come from

  • VPX marketConservative 98%, NDP 2%

    Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.

    Trade Abbotsford-Mission
  • PollsConservative 90%, NDP 10%

    From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.

The vote

Party2024Polls now
NDP44.6%39.9%
Conservative55.4%50.7%
Greennonenone
Othernone9.4%

In 2024 Reann Gasper (Conservative) beat Pam Alexis (BC NDP) by 10.8 points.

On the ballot

The seat is empty: Reann Gasper (Conservative) resigned on August 22, 2026.

  • Pam AlexisBC NDP
  • Darryl KroppConservative
  • Lakhwinder JhajCentreBC
  • Jeff MondsLibertarian

Nominations close on October 3.