← The BC election, in odds
Fraser-Nicola
Thompson-Okanagan. Safe Conservative, with a >99% chance of winning on October 24.
Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24
Safe Conservative
- Conservative
- >99%
- NDP
- 1%
Chance of winning the seat
Where the odds come from
- Trade Fraser-NicolaVPX marketConservative >99%, NDP 1%
Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.
- PollsConservative 98%, NDP 2%
From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.
The vote
| Party | 2024 | Polls now |
|---|---|---|
| NDP | 36.4% | 30.5% |
| Conservative | 54.3% | 47.7% |
| Green | 9.3% | 12.8% |
| Other | none | 9.0% |
In 2024 Tony Luck (Conservative) beat Francyne Joe (BC NDP) by 17.9 points.
On the ballot
Tony Luck (Conservative) holds the seat and is running again.
- Tony LuckConservative, MLA
Nominations close on October 3.
Ridings nearby
- Abbotsford South
- Abbotsford West
- Abbotsford-Mission
- Boundary-Similkameen
- Burnaby Centre
- Burnaby East
- Burnaby North
- Burnaby South-Metrotown
- Burnaby-New Westminster
- Cariboo-Chilcotin
- Chilliwack North
- Chilliwack-Cultus Lake
- Columbia River-Revelstoke
- Coquitlam-Burke Mountain
- Coquitlam-Maillardville
- Cowichan Valley
- Delta North
- Delta South
- Kamloops Centre
- Kamloops-North Thompson
- Kelowna Centre
- Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream
- Kelowna-Mission
- Ladysmith-Oceanside
- Langley-Abbotsford
- Langley-Walnut Grove
- Langley-Willowbrook
- Maple Ridge East
- Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows
- Nanaimo-Gabriola Island
- Nanaimo-Lantzville
- New Westminster-Coquitlam
- North Vancouver-Lonsdale
- North Vancouver-Seymour
- Penticton-Summerland
- Port Coquitlam
- Port Moody-Burquitlam
- Powell River-Sunshine Coast
- Richmond Centre
- Richmond-Bridgeport
- Richmond-Queensborough
- Richmond-Steveston
- Saanich North and the Islands
- Salmon Arm-Shuswap
- Surrey City Centre
- Surrey North
- Surrey South
- Surrey-Cloverdale
- Surrey-Fleetwood
- Surrey-Guildford
- Surrey-Newton
- Surrey-Panorama
- Surrey-Serpentine River
- Surrey-White Rock
- Vancouver-Fraserview
- Vancouver-Hastings
- Vancouver-Kensington
- Vancouver-Langara
- Vancouver-Little Mountain
- Vancouver-Point Grey
- Vancouver-Quilchena
- Vancouver-Renfrew
- Vancouver-South Granville
- Vancouver-Strathcona
- Vancouver-West End
- Vancouver-Yaletown
- Vernon-Lumby
- West Kelowna-Peachland
- West Vancouver-Capilano
- West Vancouver-Sea to Sky