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← The BC election, in odds

Vancouver-Yaletown

Vancouver. A toss-up: the NDP candidate is ahead with a 56% chance.

Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24

Toss-up

NDP
56%
Conservative
44%

Chance of winning the seat

Where the odds come from

  • VPX marketNDP 56%, Conservative 44%

    Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.

    Trade Vancouver-Yaletown
  • PollsNDP 77%, Conservative 23%

    From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.

The vote

Party2024Polls now
NDP49.8%43.5%
Conservative43.4%37.3%
Green6.9%10.2%
Othernone9.0%

In 2024 Terry Yung (BC NDP) beat Melissa De Genova (Conservative) by 6.4 points.

On the ballot

Terry Yung (BC NDP) holds the seat and is running again.

  • Terry YungBC NDP, MLA
  • Margareta DovgalConservative

Nominations close on October 3.