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← The BC election, in odds

Vancouver-South Granville

Vancouver. Safe NDP, with a >99% chance of winning on October 24.

Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24

Safe NDP

NDP
>99%
Conservative
1%

Chance of winning the seat

Where the odds come from

  • VPX marketNDP >99%, Conservative 1%

    Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.

    Trade Vancouver-South Granville
  • PollsNDP >99%, Conservative <1%

    From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.

The vote

Party2024Polls now
NDP64.3%57.3%
Conservative25.0%19.4%
Green10.7%14.3%
Othernone9.0%

In 2024 Brenda Bailey (BC NDP) beat Aron Lageri (Conservative) by 39.4 points.

On the ballot

Brenda Bailey (BC NDP) holds the seat and is not running again.

No candidates announced yet.

Nominations close on October 3.