← The BC election, in odds
Vancouver-Quilchena
Vancouver. Likely Conservative, with a 93% chance of winning on October 24.
Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24
Likely Conservative
- Conservative
- 93%
- NDP
- 7%
Chance of winning the seat
Where the odds come from
- VPX marketTrade Vancouver-Quilchena
The market is open but nobody is quoting it yet.
- PollsConservative 93%, NDP 7%
From the latest polls. Counts for 100% of the odds.
The poll model cannot see that Dallas Brodie, a sitting MLA, is running as a OneBC candidate. It is likely to understate them.
The vote
| Party | 2024 | Polls now |
|---|---|---|
| NDP | 38.9% | 33.6% |
| Conservative | 51.6% | 46.0% |
| Green | 7.8% | 11.3% |
| Other | 1.7% | 9.0% |
In 2024 Dallas Brodie (Conservative) beat Callista Ryan (BC NDP) by 12.7 points.
On the ballot
Dallas Brodie (OneBC, elected as Conservative) holds the seat and is running again.
- Callista RyanBC NDP, not confirmed
Dallas BrodieOneBC, MLA
Nominations close on October 3.