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← The BC election, in odds

Vancouver-Strathcona

Vancouver. Safe NDP, with a >99% chance of winning on October 24.

Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24

Safe NDP

NDP
>99%
Conservative
1%

Chance of winning the seat

Where the odds come from

  • VPX marketNDP >99%, Conservative 1%

    Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.

    Trade Vancouver-Strathcona
  • PollsNDP >99%, Conservative <1%

    From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.

The vote

Party2024Polls now
NDP68.2%61.9%
Conservative17.1%12.1%
Green13.1%17.0%
Other1.7%9.0%

In 2024 Joan Phillip (BC NDP) beat Scott Muller (Conservative) by 51.1 points.

On the ballot

The seat is empty: Joan Phillip (BC NDP) died on August 28, 2026.

No candidates announced yet.

Nominations close on October 3.