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← The BC election, in odds

Surrey-Cloverdale

Surrey. Likely Conservative, with a 86% chance of winning on October 24.

Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24

Likely Conservative

Conservative
86%
NDP
14%

Chance of winning the seat

Where the odds come from

  • VPX marketConservative 86%, NDP 14%

    Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.

    Trade Surrey-Cloverdale
  • PollsConservative 62%, NDP 38%

    From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.

The vote

Party2024Polls now
NDP45.6%39.8%
Conservative48.3%42.4%
Green5.4%8.7%
Other0.7%9.1%

In 2024 Elenore Sturko (Conservative) beat Mike Starchuk (BC NDP) by 2.8 points.

On the ballot

Elenore Sturko (CentreBC, elected as Conservative) holds the seat but is running in Surrey South.

No candidates announced yet.

Nominations close on October 3.