← The BC election, in odds
Surrey South
Surrey. Safe Conservative, with a 98% chance of winning on October 24.
Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24
Safe Conservative
- Conservative
- 98%
- NDP
- 2%
Chance of winning the seat
Where the odds come from
- VPX marketTrade Surrey South
The market is open but nobody is quoting it yet.
- PollsConservative 98%, NDP 2%
From the latest polls. Counts for 100% of the odds.
The poll model cannot see that Elenore Sturko, a sitting MLA, is running as a CentreBC candidate and Brent Chapman, a sitting MLA, is running as a OneBC candidate. It is likely to understate them.
The vote
| Party | 2024 | Polls now |
|---|---|---|
| NDP | 41.2% | 36.5% |
| Conservative | 58.8% | 54.1% |
| Green | none | none |
| Other | none | 9.4% |
In 2024 Brent Chapman (Conservative) beat Haroon Ghaffar (BC NDP) by 17.7 points.
On the ballot
Brent Chapman (OneBC, elected as Conservative) holds the seat and is running again.
- Megan KnightConservative
- Elenore SturkoCentreBC, MLA for Surrey-Cloverdale
- Brent ChapmanOneBC, MLA
Nominations close on October 3.