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← The BC election, in odds

Delta South

Richmond and Delta. Safe Conservative, with a 98% chance of winning on October 24.

Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24

Safe Conservative

Conservative
98%
NDP
2%

Chance of winning the seat

Where the odds come from

  • VPX marketConservative 98%, NDP 2%

    Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.

    Trade Delta South
  • PollsConservative 89%, NDP 11%

    From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.

The vote

Party2024Polls now
NDP44.9%40.3%
Conservative55.1%50.4%
Greennonenone
Othernone9.4%

In 2024 Ian Paton (Conservative) beat Jason McCormick (BC NDP) by 10.1 points.

On the ballot

Ian Paton (Conservative) holds the seat and is running again.

  • Jason McCormickBC NDP
  • Ian PatonConservative, MLA
  • Jim McMurtryOneBC

Nominations close on October 3.