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← The BC election, in odds

Surrey-Newton

Surrey. Lean NDP, with a 65% chance of winning on October 24.

Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24

Lean NDP

NDP
65%
Conservative
35%

Chance of winning the seat

Where the odds come from

  • VPX marketNDP 65%, Conservative 35%

    Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.

    Trade Surrey-Newton
  • PollsNDP 85%, Conservative 15%

    From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.

The vote

Party2024Polls now
NDP51.2%49.7%
Conservative43.0%40.9%
Greennonenone
Other5.8%9.4%

In 2024 Jessie Sunner (BC NDP) beat Tegjot Bal (Conservative) by 8.2 points.

On the ballot

Jessie Sunner (BC NDP) holds the seat and is running again.

  • Jessie SunnerBC NDP, MLA

Nominations close on October 3.