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← The BC election, in odds

Surrey-Fleetwood

Surrey. A toss-up: the Conservative candidate is ahead with a 59% chance.

Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24

Toss-up

Conservative
59%
NDP
41%

Chance of winning the seat

Where the odds come from

  • VPX marketConservative 59%, NDP 41%

    Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.

    Trade Surrey-Fleetwood
  • PollsConservative 34%, NDP 66%

    From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.

The vote

Party2024Polls now
NDP48.6%42.4%
Conservative44.9%38.8%
Green6.5%9.8%
Othernone9.0%

In 2024 Jagrup Brar (BC NDP) beat Avtar Gill (Conservative) by 3.7 points.

On the ballot

Jagrup Brar (BC NDP) holds the seat and is running again.

  • Jagrup BrarBC NDP, MLA
  • Paul BrarCentreBC

Nominations close on October 3.