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← The BC election, in odds

Saanich North and the Islands

Greater Victoria. Safe Green, with a 95% chance of winning on October 24.

Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24

Safe Green

Green
95%
Conservative
3%
NDP
2%

Chance of winning the seat

Where the odds come from

  • VPX marketGreen 95%, Conservative 3%

    Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.

    Trade Saanich North and the Islands
  • PollsGreen 83%, Conservative 6%

    From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.

The vote

Party2024Polls now
NDP32.2%26.2%
Conservative29.8%23.9%
Green36.2%41.1%
Other1.9%8.8%

In 2024 Rob Botterell (Green) beat Sarah Riddell (BC NDP) by 4.0 points.

On the ballot

Rob Botterell (Green) holds the seat and is not running again.

  • Ryan WindsorConservative
  • Emily LowanGreen

Nominations close on October 3.