← The BC election, in odds
Saanich South
Greater Victoria. Safe NDP, with a 97% chance of winning on October 24.
Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24
Safe NDP
- NDP
- 97%
- Conservative
- 3%
Chance of winning the seat
Where the odds come from
- Trade Saanich SouthVPX marketNDP 97%, Conservative 3%
Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.
- PollsNDP 95%, Conservative 2%
From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.
The vote
| Party | 2024 | Polls now |
|---|---|---|
| NDP | 49.8% | 43.0% |
| Conservative | 32.4% | 26.4% |
| Green | 17.8% | 21.7% |
| Other | none | 8.9% |
In 2024 Lana Popham (BC NDP) beat Adam Kubel (Conservative) by 17.3 points.
On the ballot
Lana Popham (BC NDP) holds the seat and is not running again.
- Richard ZussmanBC NDP
- Cathie OunstedConservative
Nominations close on October 3.