← The BC election, in odds
Juan de Fuca-Malahat
Greater Victoria. A toss-up: the Conservative candidate is ahead with a 58% chance.
Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24
Toss-up
- Conservative
- 58%
- NDP
- 37%
- Green
- 5%
Chance of winning the seat
Where the odds come from
- Trade Juan de Fuca-MalahatVPX marketConservative 58%, NDP 37%
Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.
- PollsConservative 36%, NDP 41%
From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.
The vote
| Party | 2024 | Polls now |
|---|---|---|
| NDP | 38.8% | 32.3% |
| Conservative | 38.2% | 31.7% |
| Green | 23.0% | 27.1% |
| Other | none | 8.9% |
In 2024 Dana Lajeunesse (BC NDP) beat Marina Sapozhnikov (Conservative) by 0.6 points.
On the ballot
Dana Lajeunesse (BC NDP) holds the seat and is running again.
Dana LajeunesseBC NDP, MLA- David EvansGreen
Nominations close on October 3.