← The BC election, in odds
Victoria-Swan Lake
Greater Victoria. Safe NDP, with a 99% chance of winning on October 24.
Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24
Safe NDP
- NDP
- 99%
- Conservative
- <1%
Chance of winning the seat
Where the odds come from
- Trade Victoria-Swan LakeVPX marketNDP 99%, Conservative <1%
Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.
- PollsNDP 94%, Conservative <1%
From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.
The vote
| Party | 2024 | Polls now |
|---|---|---|
| NDP | 56.0% | 49.0% |
| Conservative | 20.2% | 14.8% |
| Green | 23.2% | 27.4% |
| Other | 0.6% | 8.9% |
In 2024 Nina Krieger (BC NDP) beat Christina Winter (Green) by 32.9 points.
On the ballot
Nina Krieger (BC NDP) holds the seat and is running again.
Nina KriegerBC NDP, MLA
Nominations close on October 3.