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← The BC election, in odds

Mid Island-Pacific Rim

Vancouver Island. Likely NDP, with a 83% chance of winning on October 24.

Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24

Likely NDP

NDP
83%
Conservative
17%

Chance of winning the seat

Where the odds come from

  • VPX marketNDP 83%, Conservative 17%

    Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.

    Trade Mid Island-Pacific Rim
  • PollsNDP 85%, Conservative 14%

    From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.

The vote

Party2024Polls now
NDP48.7%42.3%
Conservative39.5%33.3%
Green11.8%15.4%
Othernone9.0%

In 2024 Josie Osborne (BC NDP) beat Adam Hayduk (Conservative) by 9.3 points.

On the ballot

Josie Osborne (BC NDP) holds the seat and is running again.

  • Josie OsborneBC NDP, MLA
  • Joshua DahlingConservative

Nominations close on October 3.