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← The BC election, in odds

Nanaimo-Lantzville

Vancouver Island. Likely NDP, with a 91% chance of winning on October 24.

Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24

Likely NDP

NDP
91%
Conservative
9%

Chance of winning the seat

Where the odds come from

  • VPX marketNDP 91%, Conservative 9%

    Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.

    Trade Nanaimo-Lantzville
  • PollsNDP 92%, Conservative 8%

    From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.

The vote

Party2024Polls now
NDP51.7%45.3%
Conservative39.5%33.5%
Green8.7%12.2%
Othernone9.0%

In 2024 George Anderson (BC NDP) beat Gwen O'Mahony (Conservative) by 12.2 points.

On the ballot

George Anderson (BC NDP) holds the seat and is running again.

  • George AndersonBC NDP, MLA

Nominations close on October 3.