← The BC election, in odds
Nanaimo-Gabriola Island
Vancouver Island. Safe NDP, with a 99% chance of winning on October 24.
Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24
Safe NDP
- NDP
- 99%
- Conservative
- 2%
Chance of winning the seat
Where the odds come from
- Trade Nanaimo-Gabriola IslandVPX marketNDP 99%, Conservative 2%
Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.
- PollsNDP 98%, Conservative 2%
From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.
The vote
| Party | 2024 | Polls now |
|---|---|---|
| NDP | 52.7% | 46.1% |
| Conservative | 34.7% | 28.7% |
| Green | 12.6% | 16.3% |
| Other | none | 9.0% |
In 2024 Sheila Malcolmson (BC NDP) beat Dale Parker (Conservative) by 18.1 points.
On the ballot
Sheila Malcolmson (BC NDP) holds the seat and is running again.
Sheila MalcolmsonBC NDP, MLA
Nominations close on October 3.