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← The BC election, in odds

Cowichan Valley

Vancouver Island. A toss-up: the NDP candidate is ahead with a 52% chance.

Results for every riding, from 8 pm Pacific on October 24

Toss-up

NDP
52%
Conservative
47%
Green
1%

Chance of winning the seat

Where the odds come from

  • VPX marketNDP 52%, Conservative 47%

    Tight quotes. Counts for 100% of the odds.

    Trade Cowichan Valley
  • PollsNDP 56%, Conservative 31%

    From the latest polls. Counts for 0% of the odds.

The vote

Party2024Polls now
NDP40.5%34.9%
Conservative37.6%32.0%
Green19.8%24.2%
Other2.1%8.9%

In 2024 Debra Toporowski (BC NDP) beat John Koury (Conservative) by 2.9 points.

On the ballot

Debra Toporowski (BC NDP) holds the seat and is running again.

  • Debra ToporowskiBC NDP, MLA

Nominations close on October 3.