← Private markets
Run an Oscars pool with friends
A paper ballot only tells you who guessed right. A private market shows how sure everyone was, and lets people change their minds as the awards season buzz builds.
Make a market on the big question, invite your movie friends, and trade with play money. The price is the group's odds, updated every time someone buys or sells.
It is free and there is nothing to deposit. On awards night, settle the market and the standings show who knew their films.
Template
Will the film with the most nominations win Best Picture?
Resolves YES if the film with the most nominations at this year's Academy Awards wins Best Picture. If films tie for the most nominations, resolves YES if any of them wins. Resolves NO otherwise.
Create this marketHow it works
- Write a question the ceremony will answer, like whether the most nominated film wins Best Picture.
- Share the invite link with your group. Everyone gets the same play money.
- Trade in the weeks before the ceremony as the precursor awards come in.
- Settle the market on awards night and check the standings.
Question ideas
- Will the film with the most nominations win Best Picture?
- Will any film win five or more Oscars this year?
- Will Best Director and Best Picture go to the same film?
Step-by-step guide: How to run your own prediction market to bet with friends